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Seasonal Forecast and Flood Risk Implications in Yemen’s Agriculture Sector

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In the current climate change context, disasters in Yemen are becoming increasingly unpredictable and severe, according to a latest report by Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO).

The report added that Yemen, already grappling with a fragile socio-economic and political situation, continues to face rising exposure to climate extremes and related disasters.

Flooding is the most prevalent, typically occurring during the Kharif rainy season (July to September).

The August–September–October (ASO) period is particularly critical within Yemen’s agricultural calendar, especially in key agro-ecological zones.

Heavy rains during this season are often linked to flash floods, causing significant damage and losses to communities and their assets, especially in the agricultural sector.

Historical flood events, including those in 2024, have repeatedly damaged agricultural and community infrastructure. These floods also tend to disrupt market access, transportation, and supply chains for agricultural inputs, thereby worsening food insecurity and hindering recovery efforts.

The report concluded that accurate seasonal forecasting for the ASO-2025 period is vital for Yemen’s agriculture, as it coincides with key stages of main rain fed crops. Reliable forecasts can enable timely agricultural advisories and early warnings for potential crop shortfalls or flood risks, particularly in the highlands and southwestern regions.

Such measures are essential for strengthening food security resilience and supporting proactive actions in Yemen’s climate vulnerable environment. 

جميع الحقوق محفوظة © قناة اليمن اليوم الفضائية
جميع الحقوق محفوظة © قناة اليمن اليوم الفضائية